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July 31st President Bush announced that because of the decline in violence in Iraq, the Pentagon will shorten the tours of duty for U.S. soldiers and may allow the withdrawal of more U.S. military troops from Iraq. This is welcome news for all Iraqis, for U.S. soldiers, and for everyone in the United States. But the president's statement today draws exactly the wrong conclusions about why violence has declined in Iraq. As commentators inside Iraq have noted, the decline in violence in Iraq is largely a result of the U.S. strategy of persuading armed, antigovernment groups to stop fighting by offering them guns, cash payments, and promises of inclusion in the political process. Iraq remains an unlivable state; its best and brightest have been killed or fled to exile; its once mixed ethnic communities have suffered ethnic cleansing and are broken; electricity remains unavailable to virtually all, except for a few hours a day; and the government is so fragile that it cannot even get parliamentary approval on the terms of provincial elections. Transforming the lull in fighting into a long-term, durable political solution will require real negotiations to form an inclusive national government in Iraq, U.S. agreement on a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. troops, and a U.S. willingness to talk to Iran - the same elements FCNL outlined in 2006. So far the president has refused to endorse any timetable for the withdrawal of troops from Iraq or embrace the kind of unconditional, diplomatic talks with Iran that could be the key to achieving a political settlement in Iraq. Also essential to this process may be the diplomatic talks with Iraq's powerful neighbors - Iran, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia. Congress could help by urging the president to begin a diplomatic surge in the Middle East.
Put a War Is Not the Answer sign back in your window or front yard to celebrate this season of peace. |